How to Predict Commercial Burnout.
At any given moment in time there are a
discrete number of Steam Heat shoppers who are interested in a new job, personal
injury lawyer, financial advisor, health insurance policy, or solution to
their beloved pooch's protracted Misery...and who are willing to Buy Direct.
You cannot bludgeon into
submission people who have no use for your brand, only buy retail, or just
don't like your ads. You can predict burnout in advance using common
sense and simple arithmetic.
1. Predict Burnout using Common Sense.
How
competitive is your category? Do you offer a truly unique product or are you
coat-tailing on others' success? Does your
copy sound just like everyone else's? Are you the ninth guy in a row to offer the
same "secret the credit card companies don't want
you to know"?
If your copy is generic, the only real difference
between you and everyone else is the tone, timbre and resonance of your
announcer's voice. Thin reed, eh?
2. Predict Burnout with OEF.
Whenever you test new creative make the effort to track daily
response against daily Target Audience Gross Impressions and derive your Optimum Effective Frequency Range.
Effective Frequency is the number of times half or more of a cume
audience has heard your commercial. I derive that number from station
ratings and from tracking response during a 10-15 day
Local Market Test.