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Residential Real Estate Direct Mail Planning Model

SELLING PRICE $650,000 Problem: Plan a Direct Mail campaign to sell 32 luxury homes in a local market.
TARGET SALES 32
TARGET REVENUE $20,800,000
MCPS 1.5% - 2.5%
OPTION-BUY

75%

24 Solution:
SEE & BUY

25%

8
The givens are an average selling price, an acceptable range of Media Cost Per Sale, and a target mix of Option-to-Buy and immediate See & Buy purchasers..  

We may elect to produce two traffic-builder DM pieces: a single-fold mailer aimed at a broad geographic target, and a 12-page brochure aimed at upscale local or nearby homeowners.  How many should we mail of each piece?  What should each cost?   

1.  Budget.  We apply local historic traffic-to-sales conversion rates (C), and work backwards from target sales to target # Qualified Presentations.  We may assume the simpler piece will attract more non-qualified respondents and set Target Ups slightly higher.

Industry response rates for these types of mailers (often dramatically different) and available mailing lists dictate quantities.  We set an acceptable price per mailer, deduct fixed costs, such as postage and labels, then set creative & art, and printing budgets. 

Total Cost divided by Target Sales yields Target MCPS (Media Cost Per Sale), expressed at the bottom as a percentage of unit sales for each mailer, and for the campaign as a whole.
 
2. Creative Test.  If time permits, we'd produce and  test two or three versions of the simpler piece first (e.g. 5,000 units each), compare results to the model, and monitor all conversion rates.  We'd use the winning concept in the larger, more expensive piece, which can also serve as the take-home brochure.

This method of planning and testing can be applied to any medium (newspaper ads, radio, TV, web search, handouts) and to an entire multi-media campaign. Media support before and during mail drops can increase response.  Presentation skills, incentives, and the product itself will determine final closing ratios. 

Single-Fold
4-Page
12-Page Self-Mailer Brochure
TARGET SALES 16 16
OPTION SALES 12 4 12 4
C4. Options/Sales 20% 20%
# OPTIONS 60 60
# SEE & BUY
DECISIONS 64 64
C3. QP/Decision 10% 10%
# QP 640 640
Non-Qualified Ups 213 71
C2. Non-Q/Ups 25%   10%
# UPS 853 711
C1. Traffic/# Pieces 0.35% 2.50%
DM PIECES 243,800 28,400
Postage $0.16 $1.25
List & Label $0.05 $0.05
Printing $0.45 $3.50
Creative & Art $5,000 $0.02 $25,000 $0.88
Mgmt Fee $0.14 $1.14
Cost per Mailer $0.82 $6.82
Total DM COST $199,100 $193,600
MCPS $12,400 $12,100
MCPS/SP 1.91% 1.86%
DM CAMPAIGN $392,700
REVENUES $20,800,000
DM/Revenues 1.89%
This model demonstrates methodology.
It is not a bid or a proposal.
Strategy://Concept/Production.asap  (407) 895-3092   mailto:pab@burkhardworks.com



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