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SELLING PRICE |
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$650,000 |
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Problem: Plan a
Direct Mail campaign to sell 32 luxury homes in a local market. |
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TARGET SALES |
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32 |
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TARGET REVENUE |
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$20,800,000 |
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MCPS |
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1.5% - 2.5% |
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OPTION-BUY |
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75%
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24 |
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Solution: |
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SEE & BUY |
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25%
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8 |
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The givens are an average selling price, an acceptable range of Media Cost Per
Sale, and a target mix of Option-to-Buy and immediate See & Buy
purchasers..
We may elect to produce two traffic-builder DM pieces: a
single-fold mailer aimed at a broad geographic target, and a 12-page brochure
aimed at upscale local or nearby homeowners. How many should we mail of
each piece? What should each cost?
1. Budget. We apply local historic traffic-to-sales conversion rates (C), and work
backwards from target sales to target # Qualified
Presentations.
We may assume the simpler piece will attract more non-qualified
respondents and set Target Ups slightly higher.
Industry response rates for these types of mailers (often dramatically
different) and available mailing lists dictate quantities. We set an acceptable price per mailer,
deduct fixed costs, such as postage and labels, then set creative & art, and
printing budgets.
Total Cost divided by Target Sales yields Target MCPS
(Media Cost Per Sale), expressed at the bottom as a percentage of unit sales
for each mailer, and for the campaign as a whole.
2. Creative Test. If time permits, we'd produce and test
two or three versions of the simpler piece first (e.g. 5,000 units each), compare
results to the model, and monitor all conversion rates. We'd use the
winning concept in the larger, more expensive piece, which can also serve as
the take-home brochure.
This method of
planning and testing can be applied to any medium (newspaper ads, radio, TV, web search,
handouts) and to an entire multi-media campaign. Media support before
and during mail drops can increase response.
Presentation skills, incentives, and the product itself will determine
final closing ratios.
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Single-Fold
4-Page |
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12-Page Self-Mailer Brochure |
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TARGET SALES |
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16 |
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16 |
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OPTION SALES |
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12 |
4 |
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12 |
4 |
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C4. Options/Sales |
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20% |
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20% |
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# OPTIONS |
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60 |
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60 |
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# SEE & BUY |
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DECISIONS |
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64 |
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64 |
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C3. QP/Decision |
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10% |
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10% |
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# QP |
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640 |
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640 |
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Non-Qualified Ups |
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213 |
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71 |
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C2. Non-Q/Ups |
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25% |
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10% |
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# UPS |
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853 |
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711 |
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C1. Traffic/# Pieces |
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0.35% |
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2.50% |
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DM PIECES |
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243,800 |
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28,400 |
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Postage |
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$0.16 |
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$1.25 |
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List & Label |
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$0.05 |
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$0.05 |
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Printing |
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$0.45 |
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$3.50 |
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Creative & Art |
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$5,000 |
$0.02 |
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$25,000 |
$0.88 |
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Mgmt Fee |
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$0.14 |
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$1.14 |
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Cost per Mailer |
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$0.82 |
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$6.82 |
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Total DM COST |
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$199,100 |
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$193,600 |
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MCPS |
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$12,400 |
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$12,100 |
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MCPS/SP |
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1.91% |
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1.86% |
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DM CAMPAIGN |
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$392,700 |
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REVENUES |
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$20,800,000 |
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DM/Revenues |
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1.89% |
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This
model demonstrates methodology.
It is not a bid or a proposal. |
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